Starting to, yes: the Houston Astros Doom Index sits at 38 out of 100 today (Bracing), up 1.3 since yesterday. Things are trending the wrong way: the fanbase is bracing. At 47-51, that makes them the 3rd most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.
The biggest drag on the number is Playoff Pulse at 21; the bright spot is Offense at 66. Every signal measures deviation from the Astros' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.
| Signal | Score (0–100) |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 37 |
| Offense | 66 |
| Run Prevention | 30 |
| Playoff Pulse | 21 |
| Regression Watch | 29 |
| Hope Premium | 56 |
Should the Astros panic?
Starting to, yes. The Houston Astros Doom Index is 38 out of 100 today: the Bracing zone. Things are trending the wrong way: the fanbase is bracing.
What is the Astros Doom Index today?
38 out of 100 as of July 17, 2026, in the Bracing zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Astros' own baseline.
How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.
Panic checks, AL West: Angels · Athletics · Mariners · Rangers