Starting to, yes: the St. Louis Cardinals Doom Index sits at 37 out of 100 today (Bracing), down 3.5 since yesterday. Things are trending the wrong way: the fanbase is bracing. At 77-85, that makes them the 3rd most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.
The biggest drag on the number is Momentum at 6; the bright spot is Regression Watch at 56. Every signal measures deviation from the Cardinals' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.
| Signal | Score (0–100) |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 6 |
| Offense | 19 |
| Run Prevention | 51 |
| Playoff Pulse | 50 |
| Regression Watch | 56 |
| Hope Premium | 50 |
Should the Cardinals panic?
Starting to, yes. The St. Louis Cardinals Doom Index is 37 out of 100 today: the Bracing zone. Things are trending the wrong way: the fanbase is bracing.
What is the Cardinals Doom Index today?
37 out of 100 as of October 1, 2026, in the Bracing zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Cardinals' own baseline.
How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.