Left for dead in late May. Clinched in a doubleheader in Atlanta.
1
05/29 · INDEX 26 · BRACING
Eleven games under
22-33, the low point of the season by record, index 25.8 BRACING. Even here the index never touched DOOMED: the closest it came all year was 21.2, seven days earlier, still inside BRACING.
2
06/21 · INDEX 93 · REFUSE TO LOSE
OMG
36-38, still a losing record, and the index hits its season peak: 93.3, REFUSE TO LOSE, the highest reading this site has ever charted. The soundtrack was OMG, the song utility infielder Jose Iglesias recorded and the clubhouse adopted as its anthem. Momentum reads trajectory, not just level; a team playing well above its own recent pace registers as euphoria before the standings catch up.
3
09/14 · INDEX 50 · WATCHFUL
The scare
81-67, and the index falls 33.8 points in a single day to 49.5 WATCHFUL. A playoff race is its own kind of volatility, even for a team that has already arrived.
4
09/30 · INDEX 62 · BELIEVING
Clinched
89-73, index 62.0 BELIEVING: a playoff berth secured in a doubleheader forced by Hurricane Helene's rescheduling, closing out a run that started 11 games under .500 in May.
89-73 · finished at 62 BELIEVING · 22-33 to a playoff berth is the inverse of every other story on this site: proof the index reads hope as legibly as it reads dread. The floor never dipped into DOOMED; the June ceiling of 93.3 nearly pinned the dial. Same model, same math. The story just runs in the other direction.
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Team names used descriptively. Data: MLB Stats API, FanGraphs, Polymarket. Anonymous usage analytics.