Not yet: the New York Mets Doom Index sits at 56 out of 100 today (Watchful), up 5.0 since yesterday. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful. At 74-88, that makes them the 22nd most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.
The biggest drag on the number is Playoff Pulse at 50; the bright spot is Regression Watch at 69. Every signal measures deviation from the Mets' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.
| Signal | Score (0–100) |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 57 |
| Offense | 57 |
| Run Prevention | 69 |
| Playoff Pulse | 50 |
| Regression Watch | 69 |
| Hope Premium | 50 |
Should the Mets panic?
Not yet. The New York Mets Doom Index is 56 out of 100 today: the Watchful zone. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful.
What is the Mets Doom Index today?
56 out of 100 as of October 1, 2026, in the Watchful zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Mets' own baseline.
How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.
Panic checks, NL East: Nationals · Phillies · Braves · Marlins