Not yet: the Washington Nationals Doom Index sits at 57 out of 100 today (Watchful), down 4.5 since yesterday. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful. At 77-85, that makes them the 24th most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.
The biggest drag on the number is Offense at 29; the bright spot is Regression Watch at 73. Every signal measures deviation from the Nationals' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.
| Signal | Score (0–100) |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 70 |
| Offense | 29 |
| Run Prevention | 67 |
| Playoff Pulse | 50 |
| Regression Watch | 73 |
| Hope Premium | 50 |
Should the Nationals panic?
Not yet. The Washington Nationals Doom Index is 57 out of 100 today: the Watchful zone. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful.
What is the Nationals Doom Index today?
57 out of 100 as of October 1, 2026, in the Watchful zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Nationals' own baseline.
How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.