Not yet: the Baltimore Orioles Doom Index sits at 59 out of 100 today (Watchful), up 0.8 since yesterday. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful. At 46-51, that makes them the 23rd most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.
The biggest drag on the number is Hope Premium at 0; the bright spot is Momentum at 86. Every signal measures deviation from the Orioles' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.
| Signal | Score (0–100) |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 86 |
| Offense | 39 |
| Run Prevention | 72 |
| Playoff Pulse | 82 |
| Regression Watch | 56 |
| Hope Premium | 0 |
Should the Orioles panic?
Not yet. The Baltimore Orioles Doom Index is 59 out of 100 today: the Watchful zone. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful.
What is the Orioles Doom Index today?
59 out of 100 as of July 17, 2026, in the Watchful zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Orioles' own baseline.
How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.