The Doom Index

Should the Orioles panic?

Not yet.
Doom Index 51 · Watchful · October 1, 2026

Not yet: the Baltimore Orioles Doom Index sits at 51 out of 100 today (Watchful), flat since yesterday. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful. At 79-82, that makes them the 17th most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.

The biggest drag on the number is Playoff Pulse at 28; the bright spot is Run Prevention at 75. Every signal measures deviation from the Orioles' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.

SignalScore (0–100)
Momentum67
Offense47
Run Prevention75
Playoff Pulse28
Regression Watch47
Hope Premium50
Full Orioles dashboard →

FAQ

Should the Orioles panic?
Not yet. The Baltimore Orioles Doom Index is 51 out of 100 today: the Watchful zone. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful.

What is the Orioles Doom Index today?
51 out of 100 as of October 1, 2026, in the Watchful zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Orioles' own baseline.

How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.

Panic checks, AL East: Red Sox · Rays · Blue Jays · Yankees