Not yet: the Tampa Bay Rays Doom Index sits at 41 out of 100 today (Watchful), down 1.0 since yesterday. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful. At 56-38, that makes them the 4th most doomed fanbase in baseball right now.
The biggest drag on the number is Regression Watch at 0; the bright spot is Run Prevention at 63. Every signal measures deviation from the Rays' own season baseline: this is a mood ring, not a power ranking.
| Signal | Score (0–100) |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 35 |
| Offense | 50 |
| Run Prevention | 63 |
| Playoff Pulse | 52 |
| Regression Watch | 0 |
| Hope Premium | 40 |
Should the Rays panic?
Not yet. The Tampa Bay Rays Doom Index is 41 out of 100 today: the Watchful zone. Things are roughly normal by this team's own standards: stay watchful.
What is the Rays Doom Index today?
41 out of 100 as of July 17, 2026, in the Watchful zone. 0 is doomed, 100 is refuse-to-lose, measured against the Rays' own baseline.
How is the Doom Index calculated?
Six daily signals: momentum, offense, run prevention, playoff odds, regression risk, and the market's hope premium (Polymarket vs FanGraphs), each normalized against the team's own season history and blended into one 0–100 number.
Panic checks, AL East: Orioles · Red Sox · Blue Jays · Yankees